Steelers should win but is 5 points enough for bettors?

Kraig Riley thinks the Ravens will cover

What a weird game to try and bet. The line opened at the Steelers -3 and has now shifted all the way to Steelers -5.

So why all the line movement?  It started early, shifting to -4.  The move all the way to -5 now likely has to do with a combination of the bets coming in on the game and the Ravens COVID-19 positive tests.

The Ravens are a run-first and sometimes run-only team.  They've already lost Mark Ingram and JK Dobbins due to positive tests.

That leaves them with Gus Edwards, who has certainly had success against the Steelers.

Earlier this year, Edwards rushed 16 times for 87 yards and a touchdown.  But that was with the backfield help of Dobbins rushing 15 times for 113 yards.

Will he be able to replicate that success without Dobbins?  Unlikely, especially considering the Steelers were without defensive tackle Tyson Alualu the last times these teams met and he has been an elite run stuffer.

So everything tells you to like the Steelers chances in this game, and I really like their chances of winning it.  But covering 5 points?  That's a lot to ask, especially when you look at the historical matchups between these two rivals.

Over their last 11 matchups, 6 of those games have had scores finish within five points.

These games are more often than not, closer matchups.

Like I said, I like the Steelers to win, but give me the Ravens +5.  The line moving this much makes me confident in the Ravens chances of covering.