It feels like the NBA season just ended with the Los Angeles Lakers defeating the Miami Heat in the finals. Wednesday night, we start looking ahead to 2021 with the NBA Draft. The Minnesota Timberwolves hold the top pick and according to the betting odds, there are three players with a realistic chance to go No.1.
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook
LaMelo Ball -110
Ball opened +420 but had moved to the co- favorite with former Georgia star Anthony Edwards as of Tuesday night. Draft odds move fast. On Monday afternoon, Ball was the -210 favorite at FanDuel Sportsbook, but his odds went back down to -110 less than 24 hours later.
Ball is the biggest liability at FanDuel to be selected No. 1, although the NBA Draft doesn’t bring in big bets. The largest wager as of Tuesday evening was $200 on Ball at his opening number of +420.
Late mock drafts are split on Ball and Edwards going No. 1. With that being said, it looks like the odds are moving back to Edwards being the sole favorite as we get closer to the draft. If you want to bet Ball, wait to see if he moves to plus money before biting.
Anthony Edwards -110
If you’re looking to place a wager on who will go No. 1, the best bet to make is on Edwards -110. In my opinion, he’s the Timberwolves’ likely selection if the team doesn’t trade out of the top spot. Edwards has reportedly put up some underwhelming workouts, but the versatile guard lit up the SEC last season with 19.1 points, 5.2 rebounds, and 2.8 assists per game.
The reason Edwards makes the most sense in the betting market is because he appears to not only be Minnesota’s top target, but he’ll also be a strong possibility for any team trading up. He’s the most dynamic scorer and most NBA-ready player in the draft.
I’d grab Edwards now before his odds move as we get closer to Wednesday night. He was +110 on Monday, so -110 is probably the best price you'll get on Edwards.
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James Wiseman +600
Wiseman isn’t a great fit at No. 1 with the Timberwolves because Minnesota already has Karl-Anthony Towns. However, the former Memphis big man will certainly be in play if the Wolves unload the pick. Wiseman is arguably the player with the highest ceiling in this draft class and he actually opened as the favorite to go No. 1 when FanDuel released its NBA Draft odds back in November.
Bettors aren’t buying Wiseman going No. 1 overall though. As of Tuesday, 45% of the money wagered was on Ball with 40% coming in on Edwards at FanDuel. Wiseman was a distant third at 5%. The likely scenario is Wiseman going No. 2 to the Golden State Warriors. Wiseman's odds to go second overall moved from +100 to -170 at FanDuel in just a few hours Tuesday.
No other player is listed with odds shorter than 100-1 to be selected No. 1. According to the betting market and latest mock drafts, it’s a three-man race. The feeling here is Edwards is the best bet on the board. Not only is he a perfect fit for Minnesota if the Wolves stay at No. 1, but Edwards is also a strong possibility to land with any team trading up to the top spot. Grab Edwards at -110 or plus money if you can find it.