Max Kellerman revisits his 'cliff' prediction as Tom Brady reaches another Super Bowl


There are old takes exposed, and then there's Max Kellerman's "cliff" prediction. It's the gift that keeps on giving.

If you need a refresher, Kellerman said this on ESPN's First Take back on July 28, 2016: "Tom Brady's just about done. It could be his next game. It could be a year from now. But he is going to fall off a cliff. Tom Brady is going to be a bum in short order."

After years of defending the prediction, Kellerman finally admitted he was wrong this fall, more than four years later.

Now he's at least at having some fun with it. What else is there to do when you miss that badly?

On Sunday, Brady advanced to his 10th career Super Bowl as the Buccaneers beat the Packers, 31-26, in the NFC championship game.

It is Brady's fourth Super Bowl appearance just in the five seasons since Kellerman made his infamous prediction. Brady and the Patriots beat the Falcons in 2016, lost to the Eagles in 2017, and beat the Rams in 2018.

And now he's taken Tampa Bay to the franchise's first Super Bowl since 2002 in his first season with the organization. The Bucs will face the winner of Sunday night's Chiefs-Bills AFC championship game two weeks from now in their home stadium in Tampa.

Kellerman's tweet, while funny, is also probably completely correct. Only six other quarterbacks have four or more Super Bowl appearances in their entire career, and they're all in the Hall of Fame or about to be in the Hall of Fame: John Elway, Joe Montana, Terry Bradshaw, Peyton Manning, Roger Staubach and Jim Kelly.

Brady could join Manning as only the second quarterback to win a Super Bowl with two different teams.