The New York Mets owned a 50-55 record on July 28, sitting six games back of the second National League wild-card spot. Moreover, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook priced their World Series title odds at 500-1.
Fast-forward less than two weeks. Mickey Callaway’s team holds a 60-56 mark and entered Wednesday night facing just a one-game deficit for the same ticket to the postseason.
What’s even more astonishing? The Mets' World Series futures are 50-1, according to Jeff Sherman — the Westgate SuperBook vice president of risk management. They’re tied for the 13th-shortest odds, and the full list of favorites are below.
World Series Futures
New York’s surge began by trading for former Blue Jays righty Marcus Stroman, who boasts the 13th-lowest ERA (3.06) among qualified starters, before the MLB trade deadline. The Mets’ starting rotation has tallied a combined 3.81 FIP and 4.04 ERA (Fielding Independent Pitching) since acquiring him on July 28, good for the ninth- and fourth-lowest in the game, respectively.
Their relievers (third-highest bullpen ERA overall) have even strung together the fifth-lowest ERA (2.77) during that span. They’ve also tallied the league’s 10th-highest on-base percentage (.346), paced by lead-off man Jeff McNeil’s stellar stretch (.375/.487/.813).
There isn’t much value left in the Mets' World Series futures, considering they could experience some regression over the next month-plus and see their odds to increase as a result. But if there’s a local sportsbook with a better price, a rotation of Stroman, Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndgergaard and Zack Wheeler possesses the firepower to make a deep run come October.