Week 14 is shaping up to be one of the lowest scoring week of the 2019 NFL season, with only one team projected by oddsmakers to reach 28 points - the Minnesota Vikings. We have not seen a week with only one team projected to reach that threshold since Week 9.
That could mean some low scoring matchups in the first round of fantasy football playoffs in most leagues.
Sportsbooks can give us important insight for fantasy football, and maybe the most important takeaway is using betting lines to see which NFL teams oddsmakers have as the highest and lowest scoring teams in their projections each week.
By doing a little simple math with the over/unders and spreads of each game, you can calculate what the sportsbooks project each team to score in any given game.
In the fantasy industry, we call this an ‘implied team total’.
These can fluctuate a couple points in each direction every week as kickoffs approach, but for the most part, it gives a general idea, which teams and games offer the best chance for a lot of points.
A lot of points in real life means a lot of points in fantasy football too.
Use implied team totals as a general guide if you are debating between two players on your roster to start. Do not use them in lieu of fantasy rankings you trust, even if one player’s team is projected to score a lot of points and the other’s team not much.
Snaps and touches are still our primary concern in fantasy, but if the projections for a player are close, it might be worth taking a shot at the player who is in a game projected to be higher scoring, giving him better odds of scoring a touchdown.
Here are the implied team totals for Week 14 of the 2019 NFL season:
Have a fantasy question? Need the best waiver wire options or stealthy starts? Comment with a question on the Week 14 RADIO.COM Sports Fantasy Football Show over on YouTube (published Tuesday mornings), and Stephen Andress will answer it. Click here to watch.