Kansas City bombed as the team projected to score the most points last week, but that has not deterred sportsbooks and oddsmakers from going back to the Chiefs in Week 6. However, they are joined by two other teams projected to eclipse the 30-point plateau.
There is a significant gap between the game projected to produce the most points in Week 5 and the next highest projected games. Colts at Chiefs this week has an over/under of 57 points. The games with the second-highest total? Rams at Seahawks and Falcons at Texans.
If you’re looking for fantasy goodness in Week 5, start there.
Sportsbooks can give us important insight for fantasy football, and maybe the most important takeaway is using betting lines to see which NFL teams oddsmakers have as the highest and lowest scoring teams in their projections each week.
By doing a little simple math with the over/unders and spreads of each game, you can calculate what the sportsbooks project each team to score in any given game.
In the fantasy industry, we call this an ‘implied team total’.
These can fluctuate a couple points in each direction every week as kickoffs approach, but for the most part, it gives a general idea, which teams and games offer the best chance for a lot of points.
A lot of points in real life means a lot of points in fantasy football too.
Use implied team totals as a general guide if you are debating between two players on your roster to start. Do not use them in lieu of fantasy rankings you trust, even if one player’s team is projected to score a lot of points and the other’s team not much.
Snaps and touches are still our primary concern in fantasy, but if the projections for a player are close, it might be worth taking a shot at the player who is in a game projected to be higher scoring, giving him better odds of scoring a touchdown.
Here are the implied team totals for Week 6 of the 2019 NFL season: