Opponents of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored 27 or more points for eight straight weeks. The Falcons, who got off to a horrendous start, are heading into Week 12 with a full head of steam after two very strong outings.
It only makes sense that Matt Ryan and co. appear near the top of Week 12’s implied totals, though it may not be as simple as it appears. Jameis Winston is prone to the occasional turnover, as we’ve seen, and so this 28-point implied total doesn’t necessarily mean Matt Ryan will throw for four scores. Nonetheless, both offensive players and the entire defense are strong fantasy starts if you have any Falcons on your roster.
Sportsbooks can give us important insight for fantasy football, and maybe the most important takeaway is using betting lines to see which NFL teams oddsmakers have as the highest and lowest scoring teams in their projections each week.
By doing a little simple math with the over/unders and spreads of each game, you can calculate what the sportsbooks project each team to score in any given game.
In the fantasy industry, we call this an ‘implied team total’.
These can fluctuate a couple points in each direction every week as kickoffs approach, but for the most part, it gives a general idea, which teams and games offer the best chance for a lot of points.
A lot of points in real life means a lot of points in fantasy football too.
Use implied team totals as a general guide if you are debating between two players on your roster to start. Do not use them in lieu of fantasy rankings you trust, even if one player’s team is projected to score a lot of points and the other’s team not much.
Snaps and touches are still our primary concern in fantasy, but if the projections for a player are close, it might be worth taking a shot at the player who is in a game projected to be higher scoring, giving him better odds of scoring a touchdown.
Here are the implied team totals for Week 12 of the 2019 NFL season:
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