Week 1 of the 2020 NFL season is finally here, which means it's time to set your fantasy lineups!
For those of you that own Buffalo Bills players on your teams, a matchup with the New York Jets may seem attractive on the surface, but I'd advise caution before starting them all.
On the Jets' side, the lack of weapons and a negative game script could lead to some interesting fliers to be put into your lineups.
Bills start 'em:
Stefon Diggs (WR/FLEX)
In the 2019 season opener versus the Jets, the Bills opened with 19 consecutive called pass plays. Last year, they wanted to show off their improved passing offense. After trading a first round pick for Diggs, they'll likely want to do the same throughout the game.
Start Diggs over: Amari Cooper, D.K. Metcalf, Julian Edelman, Mark Ingram, Melvin Gordon
Josh Allen (QB)
This might be a no-brainer. Most that drafted Allen took him as the seventh or eight quarterback off the board. You drafted him to start him every week. There are tough matchups where I'd recommend playing a lesser fantasy quarterback with an easy opponent, but Week 1 isn't one of those times.
Start Allen over: Kyler Murray*, Drew Brees, Matt Ryan, Carson Wentz, Ben Roethlisberger
* - Kyler Murray was often selected before Allen in drafts, but faces an elite 49ers defense to start the year.
Jets start 'em:
Chris Herndon (TE)
Herndon is the player I own the most shares of in fantasy football this season. There is risk to playing him right out of the gate to start the season, but the environment for him to produce is already here.
Herndon missed basically all of 2019 due to suspension and injury. In 2018, he had one of the better rookie seasons for a tight end in the last decade.
As the starter in 2018, from Weeks 6-16, Herndon was the sixth-best tight end in fantasy football.
Now, the Jets have a depleted and injured cast of wide receivers. Herndon can easily end up being the most targeted player by Sam Darnold this week.
Start Herndon over: Mike Geisicki, Austin Hooper, Jonnu Smith, Blake Jarwin, T.J. Hockenson, Jack Doyle, Eric Ebron, Ian Thomas
Jamison Crowder (FLEX)
Crowder makes for an intriguing flex option in Week 1. In last year's opener versus the Bills, he piled up 14 receptions on 17 targets. A phenomenal day in PPR leagues.
Crowder should be the favorite to lead the Jets in targets. Darnold only has so many guys to throw to in this game.
Start Crowder over: Diontae Johnson, Jonathan Taylor, Marvin Jones, Tarik Cohen, Kareem Hunt, Devin Singletary, John Brown
Bills sit 'em:
Devin Singletary and Zack Moss (RB)
The Bills offense with Allen is just not a good place to be as a fantasy running back. Allen threw the fewest amount of dump offs to the running back position last season, and Allen eats up most of the rushing attempts near the goal line.
Either Singletary or Moss could have a nice game, but flip a coin as to who will be the better play. That kind of uncertainty is not worth putting in your lineup, unless your other options are similar situations.
I'm very high on Moss and believe he'll be playable at some point this season. The Bills took it slow with Singletary in 2019, and it could be the same setup with Moss in 2020. For Week 1, Singletary is a better option than Moss because of that.
Start over Singletary: Antonio Gibson, Tarik Cohen, James White, Anthony Miller, John Brown, Henry Ruggs III
Start over Moss: N'Keal Harry, Chris Thompson, Bryan Edwards, Kerryon Johnson, Parris Campbell
Jets sit 'em:
Sam Darnold (QB)
Darnold is not starting in most league's, but he could be an option for some fantasy players in dynasty and superflex leagues.
Playing one of the best defenses in the league, playing on the road (if that matters this season), and a receiving corps that includes Chris Hogan as a starter is not a good situation to be starting Darnold.
The best chance Darnold has of putting up numbers is a game script that would see the Bills get out to a big lead and Darnold have to play catch-up all day.
Start over Darnold: Ryan Fitzpatrick, Drew Lock, Baker Mayfield, Daniel Jones, Mitch Trubisky
For any fantasy lineup questions, feel free to reach out to me on Twitter: @SneakyJoeWGR.