Cristobal moves inland over Mexico, still forecast to later head for US


The National Hurricane Center says the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal has move over land.

"Observations from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft and imagery from ... radar in Mexico indicate that the center of Cristobal made landfall," the Hurricane Center posted. "Now that the center of circulation has moved inland, a gradual weakening trend should commence."

Forecasters expect that Cristobal will weaken to a depression by tomorrow evening.  It is still forecast to intensify again when it gets back over water.

"Later in the forecast period, the system is expected to emerge into the Gulf of Mexico so some re-strengthening is predicted.  However, the global models show increased southwesterly shear."

  • How strong might it get?

The Hurricane Center says it is not clear how much it will intensify in the Gulf.

"There is significant uncertainty as to how strong a cyclone we will be dealing with near the northern Gulf coast this weekend."

While there is some hope the system could fall apart, federal forecasters continue to call for a path toward Louisiana.

"The cyclone should turn northward into a weakness in the mid-level flow over the Gulf of Mexico, and approach the northern Gulf coast within 4 days."

  • What might the impacts be in Louisiana Sunday or Monday?

"There is a risk of storm surge, heavy rainfall, and wind impacts beginning over the weekend along portions of the U.S. Gulf Coast from Texas to the Florida Panhandle.  While it is too soon to determine the exact location, timing, and magnitude of these impacts, interests in these areas should monitor the progress of Cristobal and ensure they have their hurricane plan in place."

We could see street flooding, power outages and wind damage.